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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 2, 2019

June 2, 2019 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Concord Fast 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sharp Art 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Adios Muchacho 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 3 Limation 5.00 3.7 7-1
4A 4 Shut the Box SCRATCH
3A 3 Majestic Affair SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Temple Fur 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Love On Tides 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lexington Grace (IRE) 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cubs Win 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Christmas Sky 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Applique 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Haynesfest SCRATCH
4 4 Holly Go Lightly SCRATCH
8 8 Tell Your Mama SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Top Mention 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Stuart Hall 2.00 2 4-1
4 3 Rollin Smoke 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Ghost Story 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Aizhai 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Mike the Man 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Armament SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fightress 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Tap That Cat 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mucha Mezquina 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Spin to Gold 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Nine Martinis 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Thea Bee 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Buywon Getwon 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Crafty Daddy 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 6 J Zar 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Mick’s Star 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Forloveofcountry 12.00 4 8-1
6 5 Landofthepharaohs 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Faraway Kitten 4.50 5 9-1
8 8 Knicks Go SCRATCH
2 2 Dunph SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Celia’s Song 1.60 1.3 3-1
1 1 The Aurelia Factor 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Frond 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Primary Cause 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 She Beast 5.00 4 8-1
7 6 Believe in Victory 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Destiny’s Darling SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flatout Winner 3.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Copper Fiddle 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Encinitas 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Pirate’s Punch 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Michael T 15.00 5 9-1
12 11 Miracle Hill 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Rahfee Town 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Tauber 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 One More Dream 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Unbeknownst to Me 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Written Permission 15.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Lostinthemoment SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Jo Marie 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 With Dignity 2.50 3 6-1
3 2 Perfect Reins 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 What a Fox 4.00 4 8-1
9 8 Tiz Ella 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Broadway Cat 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Fun Paddy 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 She Rocks the Look 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Goodbye Earl SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Ruby Notion 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Morticia 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 1 Excessivespending 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Ms Meshak 15.00 4 8-1
4 3 Surrender Now 3.00 4 8-1
3 2 On Probation 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Noblame SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Notion 4.50 1.7 3-1
11 11 Queen’s Mason 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Young Phillip 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Passion Play 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Jerusalem 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Super Comet 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Job Security 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Hometown Salute 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Masai Man 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 My Legacy 12.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Made in America 15.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Make Room 20.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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