June 1, 2019 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Annabelle’s Babe | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ignis | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jewel Thief | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Teton Thai | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Zooming Zoey | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heath Bar | SCRATCH | |||
| 6 | 6 | Cosmopolitan Annie | SCRATCH | |||
| 4A | 4 | Trying Not To | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bless His Heart | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honduras | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine Inspector | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy’s Gone | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dantu | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stack Em High | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Say It Ain’t So | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rumandice | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Mallard Queen | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indomitable Spirit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Copy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factor Around | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer of Love | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Grace | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Merada | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warrior Empress | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Perfecta | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laser Ladee | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Went With the Wind | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvella | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Almyra | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dig Charlie Dig | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Industrialist | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Jobim | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Bizness | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mug Shot Man | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Birdstone | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Please Sit Down | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaziranga | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alliterative | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Honey | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Man Called Boady | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carte Blanche | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galindo | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crupi’s Pizza Dom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luck of the Draw | SCRATCH | |||
| 10 | 10 | Johny’s Bobby | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tipazar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandezza | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Second Coming | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proudly Pacific | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Arrows | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Better Biz | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Chill | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon’s Medaglia | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel Number | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlita | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Night Ops | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get the Prize | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Wise | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aquadini | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rotation | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proschema | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lullaby Bling | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mighty Beau Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Extravagant Kid | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jazzy Times | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will Call | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Mischief | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Remark | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angaston | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Wedge | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Om | SCRATCH | |||
| 6 | 6 | Morticia | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Aristides S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Crow | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Share the Upside | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petrov | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kowboy Karma | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Control Stake | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wilbo | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zipp On By | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Speed Gun | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Candy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Storm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Nile | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wazzup Chuck | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Briar Jumper | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Logical Myth | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Millwood | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chasin Charlie | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Moment Is Now | SCRATCH | |||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.