May 27, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Trumpi |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s Cheeky |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Delta Levy |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
McHenry |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Way Home |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zanforce |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Danny B |
|
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Rhythmia |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Remembermis |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baroque |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Readthecliffnotes |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Two Pair |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
D’fever |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swither’s Shortcut |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hide the Demon |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sharp Witted |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Get Hammered |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Deano |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Echoes of Laughter |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Weiland |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bizzee Channel |
2.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
9 |
8 |
Impressed |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Military Hop |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unbridled Ruler |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Donnels Creek |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kissedthegirls |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ready’s Mission |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stand With Honor |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Warrior in Armor |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vacation Lover |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Maria’s Moment |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mistletoe Miss |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chrome Attack |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Logi |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Glamala |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cash Me Ousside |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Slippy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Extra Medium |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Orbert |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Juan Pablo |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Don Curlione |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Foggy Albion |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tapizart |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Irish Proud |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barnyard Fiddler |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Suspenders |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tonbo |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pamir |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Curzon Street |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Timingiseverything |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rich E Z |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr D’s Way |
1.80 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smokey Row Mac |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Vbreeze |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Roarin Missile |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunny’s Rainbow |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kyzan |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Savie |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
A J’s Posse |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Curby |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Word of Truth |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oscarific |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legendary Larry |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.