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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 26, 2019

May 26, 2019 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dreaming Diamonds 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bella Moon 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Peachy 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Romani 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Swinging Bridge 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Miss Harry 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Indicating 3.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Julius 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Better Charge It 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Historian 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Super Silver 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Stolen Thunder 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Grit and Glory 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Honos Man 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Silverzar 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Forecastle 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Estrela Cadente 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Had Enough K P 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Moonfield 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Syrah 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Blue Ridge Girl 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Greeley and Ariana 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Perfectly Mattie 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 My Lady Dowry 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Marquee Moment SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Preacher Power 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Frolic More 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 St. Denman 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Fred’stwirlincandy 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Tiz McNamara 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Discovered 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Battle of Memphis (IRE) 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Get Western 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Drapers Guild (GB) 12.00 6.3 12-1
15 15 Little Kansas SCRATCH
16 16 And Seek SCRATCH
17 17 Beantown Boys SCRATCH
11 11 Farat SCRATCH
14 14 California Swing SCRATCH
5 5 Hartel SCRATCH
13 13 Caloric SCRATCH
12 12 Passport to Chaos SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Lewys Vaporizer 2.00 2 4-1
5 3 Brerry 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Niigon’s Glory 3.50 3 6-1
6 4 Louisiana Brown 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Stay Home 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 5 Buggy Brown 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Rock n’ Candy SCRATCH
2 2 Neil’s Diamond SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sandville 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Morning Social 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 The Rock Says 4.50 3 6-1
3A 3 Runnin’ Ray 6.00 3.3 6-1
12B 11 Calabasas 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Classic Road 6.00 6.3 12-1
13B 12 Hitch 4.50 6.7 13-1
4 4 Ol Grey Ghost 6.00 7 13-1
11 10 Indian Counselor 12.00 8 15-1
10 9 Unveiling 12.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Lea Ridge 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Sportster 20.00 11.7 22-1
14A 14 Seek the Peak SCRATCH
9 9 Marsac SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Neepawa 4.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Krewe Chief 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Zero Gravity 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Create Again 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 7 Machtree 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 6 Take That for Data 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sun Lover (GB) 10.00 5 9-1
14 14 Golden Dragon SCRATCH
11 11 Sir Dudley Digges SCRATCH
4 4 Gray Sky SCRATCH
7 7 Near Gold (GB) SCRATCH
12 12 Kearny County SCRATCH
6 6 Factor This SCRATCH
13 13 Sentry SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Into the South 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Jennemily 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Shesomajestic 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Free Cover 8.00 4.7 9-1
12 11 Into Mystic 8.00 6 11-1
7 6 Talbeya 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Gold Credit 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Kim K 6.00 7 13-1
2 2 Lady of Luxury 12.00 7 13-1
10 9 She’s Got It All 15.00 8 15-1
13 12 War Ballad 15.00 8.7 16-1
11 10 Mgr Treasure 12.00 9.3 18-1
14 14 The Aurelia Factor SCRATCH
4 4 Destiny Over Fate SCRATCH
15 15 Frond SCRATCH
16 16 Thunderous Gem SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Vomba 2.00 1 2-1
10 8 First Wave 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Freedom Passage 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Rushingirl 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Rubys Memory 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Rebeccas Truth 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Seized 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Headlining 20.00 6 11-1
13 13 Double Axel SCRATCH
11 11 Kiss More SCRATCH
4 4 Chikara SCRATCH
12 12 Unsweet Tea SCRATCH
15 15 Soluna SCRATCH
9 9 Becky’s Bluegrass SCRATCH
14 14 Holiday Time SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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