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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 25, 2019

May 25, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Voluptuous 2.50 2 4-1
5 4 Goddess of Kip 3.50 3 6-1
6 5 Edisto Island 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Wayaway 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Have the Facts 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Chosen Facts 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Molager SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cockalorum 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Jackfruit 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Crossfire 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Peppermint Crunch 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 First Masamune 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Captain Carnegie 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Roul the Ice 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Macho Alpha 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Magician’s Bags 5.00 3 6-1
9 7 Richiesonarampage 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Country Cool 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Snallygaster 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Pleasant Street 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Assaulter 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Hellofaguy SCRATCH
8 8 Buck Snort SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Archiemyboy 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Midnight Blue Note 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 What’s Up Dude 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Go Oshie Go 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Our Thomas 1.60 4.7 9-1
3 3 Changi 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tannah’blu 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Midnight Sway 4.50 3 6-1
7 6 Lemon Gal 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Cholla 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Luna Fortis 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Paulette 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Sister Alexa 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Lavina SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lady Furbein 1.40 1.3 3-1
7 7 Queens Day Victory 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Miss Izzy 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Glen’s My Friend 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 No Smokin Here 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Emmastwinklingstar 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Pretty Sweet Chic 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Chestfuloftreasure 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Half of Manhattan 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 4 Ahoymycaptain 5.00 2.7 5-1
11 5 All Call 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Romeo O Romeo 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Maligator 15.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Golden Dart SCRATCH
5 5 Of Note SCRATCH
3 3 Miracle Mountain SCRATCH
9 9 Giacallure SCRATCH
12 12 Summer Castle SCRATCH
8 8 Cadet Captain SCRATCH
13 13 Suspenders SCRATCH
6 6 Fleetway SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lightscameraaction 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 City Diva 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Gray Owl 1.80 3.7 7-1
5 5 W W Fitzy 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sky Freak 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Indigo Gin 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Agi’s Cait 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Russian Mafia 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Talking Zip 5.00 1.3 3-1
9 7 Off to the Beach 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Johnny Chadda 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Dark Ninja 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Musical Interest 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 McLance 6.00 5 9-1
3 2 Tak 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Tio Chuy 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Prince Abubu SCRATCH
6 6 Gusano SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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