May 18, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smiles From Sadie | 0.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solitary Gem | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom’s Queen | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carlisle Belle | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whyisshesoolucky | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My First Gal | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peggy Sue | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slamin Sami Brown | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Easy Banker | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nova Girl | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Cara | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Its a Chance | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crick | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brittas Bay | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Daleelaty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Liza Jambalaya | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye Nicky | 0.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Exchange | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teletype | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Effiemeister | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | I’llhandalthecash | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss You Blues | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Abiding Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Greek Alphabet | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lunaire | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Harmony | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninety One Assault | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Driven to Compete | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Say the Word | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dundalk | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Preternatural | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Buss the Bell | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Remstin | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Great Going | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bourbon Did It | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Major Flirt | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sams Last Ghasp | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nueva York | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Missle Bomb | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loverboy Lou | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fox Red | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Style | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Big Or Go Home | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Not About the Nail | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gentle Annie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Codrington | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Peaches and Spice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Classic Lady | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pound Note | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barrel of Destiny | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Got the Gist | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dynamite Kitten | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Theaterintheround | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Jen | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Puparee | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Squeeze | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Danielle’s Pride | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ascender | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fair Lassie | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Irish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Papa Shot | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Belt | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch’s Stone | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Playthatfunnymusic | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze the Odds | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Tommy | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Formal Start | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Thicket | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Preston Court | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cause for Applause | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Opt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Paynter’s Prize | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impazible Odds | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Grand Canal | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Adversary | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Break | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icey Cash | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moo Lah | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inflection | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Command | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mysterioustraveler | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starlite Mission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Carrera Cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Hot Stones | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Hay Field | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Regis | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Playinwiththeboys | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sue’s Fortune | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Roxy Girl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Archumybaby | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bertranda | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puffery | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Soaring Softly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stillwater Cove | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eyeinthesky | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Galina | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missmizz | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Entirely | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seek and Destroy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waving Flags | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Catorat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mister Muy Bien | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ticked All Daboxes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bunyan’s Axe | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Legion Storm | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Amanjena | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Millionaire Joe | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sounds Good | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleet Admiral | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sporting Art | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Andrew | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin the Giant | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Semper Paratus | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.