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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 17, 2019

May 17, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Gaby Vee 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cut Time 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Eifs 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 Queens Or Better 6.00 2 4-1
2 1 Midnight Mass 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Cyclical 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Simmard Shenanigan 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Pictura 15.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Pigeon Creek 30.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Trulee Ann 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Freedom Queen 20.00 5 9-1
12 11 Merry Maid 30.00 5 9-1
11 10 Expect Talk 30.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hey Prez 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Junipero Avenue 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Seville Barber 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Godlovesasinner 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Maryland Pride 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 7 Rumson Rally 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 6 Family Tree (GB) 6.00 2.2 4-1
14 10 Animal Kingston 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Jo’s Bold Cat 10.00 2.8 5-1
11 8 Boundary Pass 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lucky Leonard 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Nicki de Nephew 15.00 4.4 8-1
12 9 Frathouse Music 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Can’t Pass It Up 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rockstar Girl 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Fleeterthan 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Trapped N My Mind 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 China Cat 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bodhicitta 30.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Instinctive 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tobago 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 One Odd Story 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Suzzette Star 30.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Time Flies By 1.60 1.9 4-1
2 2 Kukulkan 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Love Me Thrice 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Railmaster 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Paid Holiday 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ready to Run 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Belmullet 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Rising Perry 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dapper Mun 15.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She Be Sassy 50.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Barbsgray Lion 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Majestic Reason 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 1 Final Form 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Three Hawk 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 The Aurelia Factor 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Marvelous Martina 10.00 2.5 5-1
11 9 Disclude 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Olive Kat 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Drops and Buckets 30.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Saltworks 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Liberty Lane 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shazier 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Never Nevermore 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hard Fought 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Largent 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sindarius 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Seeking the Sunset 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Eons 3.00 3.2 6-1
12 11 Don’t Poke the Cat 10.00 3.8 7-1
13 12 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 20.00 4 8-1
16 13 Back to Back 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Makes Mo Cents 20.00 5 10-1
11 10 Smokin Hot Factor 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Partisan Divide 50.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Posterity 50.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Paratycachaca 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Skipat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Adios Annie 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chalon 1.20 1.4 3-1
1 1 Hailey’s Flip 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Maybe Wicked 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Everlasting Secret 20.00 3 6-1
9 8 Estilo Femenino 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Anna’s Bandit 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Majestic Won 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Last True Love 30.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Phantom Shot 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Adena Springs Miss Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sue’s Fortune 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Miss Imperial 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Best Kept Secret 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Iva 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Covfefe 3.50 1.4 3-1
11 8 Fighting Mad 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Congrats Gal 8.00 2.5 5-1
12 9 Midnight Fantasy 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Please Flatter Me 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 7 Bye Bye J 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Never Enough Time 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Tomlin 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Brunette Princess 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Her Royal Highness 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Be Nimble 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Primela (FR) 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Venetian Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Fashion Faux Pas 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 7 Introduced 8.00 2.5 5-1
12 9 Orra Moor 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Makeme Dream 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Nova Sol (GER) 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 Dogtag 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Ebullient 10.00 3.6 7-1
14 10 Souper Escape 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 8 Who U Gonna Call 50.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Cover Photo 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pimlico Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 War Story 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Rally Cry 4.50 1.7 3-1
13 12 You’re to Blame 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Unbridled Juan 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Carlino 12.00 3 6-1
11 10 Flameaway 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Cordmaker 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Tenfold 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Heavy Roller 15.00 3.4 6-1
14 13 Clubman 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Just Whistle 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Flying the Flag 20.00 5.7 11-1
12 11 Wait for It 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Bobby G 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Diane 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Cookie Dough 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 7 Point of Honor 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Brill 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Always Shopping 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Off Topic 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Las Setas 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Ulele 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Our Super Freak 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bound for Nowhere 1.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pure Sensation 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 New York’s Finest 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tricks to Doo 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 American Sailor 20.00 1.5 3-1
9 6 Completed Pass 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 5 Oldies But Goodies 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Clever Triad 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Tempt Me Twice 30.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Miss Lilly 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mylady Curlin 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Golden Award 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Gio Game 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Another Broad 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Timeless Curls 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Isotope 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’slikethewind 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pantyhose 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gemini Lil 30.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Nevisian Sunset 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Wolverette 6.00 1.9 4-1
12 10 Miss Jackie G 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Go Amanda 10.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Burak 8.00 3.1 6-1
15 12 That’sthewaytodoit 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Leroy’s Sweetypie 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jacobella 30.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Alibarbara 30.00 5 9-1
10 8 Here and Now 20.00 5.1 10-1
13 11 Redeemed Spirit 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Along Came Mizzy 30.00 5.9 11-1
16 13 Play Charades 30.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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