May 17, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Single Focus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Red Right Hand | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ticked All Daboxes | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Carom | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strategic Outlook | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teachable Moment | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Blame | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dillon Rocks | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spindletop | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Solar | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Honor System | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Sueno | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Foti | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Americano | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Running Violence | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B. B. Dude | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lone Pioneer | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who’s Driving | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stink Man | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Orchid Party | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Timely Tradition | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Janie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Annie Rocks | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hoponthebusgus | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Awesome Quick | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | A Dixie Twister | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Courageous Queen | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Solarte | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Blissful Breeze | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Ammo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nutzforboltz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tiergan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Mango M | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | New Jersey John | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Elenzee | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Phone Funky Munky | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steelersfanforlife | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bebe Banker | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Risky Sour | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Monaghan | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Riendo | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Beach Access | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its All Relevant | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roaming Union | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Aura | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giuseppe the Great | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candygram | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Gone Daddy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sicilia Mike | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Banana Thief | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fear | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast Getaway | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Asset | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Psychic Energy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Outrageous Bet | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alien Season | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Crocheron Kid | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Thicket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Curlin Road | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Halloween Horror | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starship Zeus | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trance | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swamp Rat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jerome Avenue | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Front Run the Fed | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clench | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Won’t | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neverland Rock (GB) | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hushion | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alphalfa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Coolboy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cause for Applause | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Plebe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tammany Giant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Givetheman a Cigar | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Danzante | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magnesite | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Early Retirement | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Jack the Cat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capt. Courageous | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Soup Baby | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kid Chocolate | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Lorri’s Candy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Roll Tide | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Mystery | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.