May 16, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alphadora | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amos | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Pinky | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singular Sensation | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Sophia | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Champayne | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elegant Rose | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Vida | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Balon Rose | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Star of the East | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xanthique | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estill | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Passion Flower | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Athary (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Petalite | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | There He Goes | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purchasing Power | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Change of Venue | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somebody | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Curlin’s New Moon | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoard | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Craigville Beach | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mentality | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | High Jingo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | First Appeal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wantagh Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Out of Trouble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alabama Bound | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 7 | Miss Hot Stones | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Starlite Mission | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sunshine Gal | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Carrera Cat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Our Super Nova | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Saratoga Treasure | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Forgotten Hero | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dark N Cloudy | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leap to Glory | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mohican | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flatexcel | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tariff Tantrum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Burning Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Inclunation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Overlord | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Trick | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Currency (KOR) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duncastle | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hampton Point | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Azzedine (FR) | 50.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Patrol | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreammaster | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Elfitz | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mythajacul | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lemonist | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mills | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prompt | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Noble Thought | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bird’s Eye View | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Green Mo’ster | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Devamani (FR) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Holiday Bonus | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sarrasin (GB) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lutsky | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ro Bear | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Lebanese | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudnme | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kadens Courage | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seed Money | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taniell’s Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fusi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Sass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Too Many Tales | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mz Seb Pat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Andretta | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kitty Therapy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Caralicious | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Topline | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honorable Profit | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Romping Rosie | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Frosty Linz | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Semaya | 50.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.