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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, May 14, 2019

May 14, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lovely Time 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Flippity Flop 0.80 SCRATCH
4 3 Crystal Clear 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 If You Only Knew 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 4 Smarty Pi 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Justenuff Hope 12.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spintalk 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Flashonforty 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Alwayslookeye 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Classic Lines 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Wheresthebarber 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Deerstalker 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Jimmy Who 20.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Little Vinnie 10.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hail to the King 0.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 Big Lie 15.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Speed Syndrome 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Shoeless 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Petulant Delight 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Semi Excited 5.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Ami’s Artie 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Sacrificing It All 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Easy River 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Southern Kisses 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 My Pirate 4.00 2.3 4-1
3A 3 Smooth Don B 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lucky Clemen 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Loco Lobo 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tchaikovsky 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tuffy’s Lucky 20.00 3.8 7-1
8A 8 Howboutdempats 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vero Sun 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Compound It 0.60 1.3 2-1
1 1 Creative Genius 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Dubrovsky 20.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Risque’s Warrior 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bonda 8.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Every Step 3.00 SCRATCH
8B 8 Match Up 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Two Weeks Off 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Irish Colonel 5.00 1.7 3-1
4A 4 Incubator 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Degrom 3.50 2.2 4-1
5B 5 Wendy Wend 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Quality Asset 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Scherzo 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flattering Ruby 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Miss Avalon 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Afleet Tizzy 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Tiz Fair 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Hibernia Diamond 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Rosie’s Notion 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colonel Juan 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Wonderfully Tuned 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Devine Dental 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 D T Goodie 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Red Razzo 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Jw’strickymischief 6.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Folk Magic 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Littlemissbusiness 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bon Heir 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 R Lucky Charm 1.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Axe Capital 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Congressionalstorm 12.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Malandrina 8.00 3 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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