May 14, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lovely Time |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Flippity Flop |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Crystal Clear |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
If You Only Knew |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Smarty Pi |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Justenuff Hope |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Spintalk |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashonforty |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alwayslookeye |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic Lines |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wheresthebarber |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Deerstalker |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jimmy Who |
20.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Vinnie |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hail to the King |
0.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Lie |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Speed Syndrome |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shoeless |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petulant Delight |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Semi Excited |
5.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ami’s Artie |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sacrificing It All |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Easy River |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Southern Kisses |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Pirate |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3A |
3 |
Smooth Don B |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Clemen |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Loco Lobo |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tchaikovsky |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tuffy’s Lucky |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8A |
8 |
Howboutdempats |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Vero Sun |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Compound It |
0.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Creative Genius |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dubrovsky |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Risque’s Warrior |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bonda |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6A |
6 |
Every Step |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8B |
8 |
Match Up |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Two Weeks Off |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Colonel |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4A |
4 |
Incubator |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Degrom |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5B |
5 |
Wendy Wend |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quality Asset |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scherzo |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Flattering Ruby |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Avalon |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Afleet Tizzy |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiz Fair |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hibernia Diamond |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rosie’s Notion |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Colonel Juan |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wonderfully Tuned |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Devine Dental |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
D T Goodie |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Red Razzo |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jw’strickymischief |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Folk Magic |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Littlemissbusiness |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bon Heir |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
R Lucky Charm |
1.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Axe Capital |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Congressionalstorm |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malandrina |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.