May 12, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hailey’s Prize | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolly Stormy | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louise the Laser | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bel Ayr Bay | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobra Sophie | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sol Dat Sugar | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Danielle | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Fairy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mine Fast Philly | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wuk Up Queen | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Pearl | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahone Bay | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ciuri | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hell N Wild | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Poem | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foxxy Belle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biddy Early | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Emily | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Never Sober | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brookies Bear | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sav | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgian Dancer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caspian Jewel | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Brynlie | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | H Is Just a Number | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Honoured | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Gal | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flashinthepants | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khawlah | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calais Cove | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raspberry Wild | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Vision | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misguided Passion | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show Me the Prize | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katla’s Fury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Candy Mountain | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Forest Lass | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lillz So Precious | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Mrs. G | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Vision | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | What’s the Rush | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power House | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Bliss | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Under Lock and Key | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Colors | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Have Feelings | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blu Collar Romance | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shez a Ten I Know | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready’s Princess | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheztenthehardway | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tornado Cat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophias Dream | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fury S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Intanga Rose | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western Curl | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Mistake | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Soul | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artilena | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hastalavistababy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Dawn | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Furiously Fast | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Doll | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Seeker | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Coal | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twice Around | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rattlesnake Bite | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gamble’s Candy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ka Gee Gee | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Broken Breeze | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneerof New York | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Garter | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Painting | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Tillie | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic in Malibu | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amiens | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mazikeen | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bobbit | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Systemic Risk | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.