May 11, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Slot Receiver | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | High Noon Rider | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nate’s Tizzy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bank Float | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Time Man | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Hayes | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dothat Dance | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Scout | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barin | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Greely’s Striker | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slewzer | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splendor Gal | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Telesa | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Magician | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Letmeslidebyyou | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Picadilly | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bash | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Manhattan Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Janelle Dreams | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hey Mabel | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cat Lak | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Rockin Blues | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neetee Rides Again | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kentucky Smooth | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Congratstomywife | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Star | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dixie Do Good | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pensy Moll | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Chesa Charm | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Hot | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party Rock | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rein Supreme | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prank Call | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vanidosa | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dat Dares Gold | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sierra Leona | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hanalei Sunset | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | June Ann (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comfy and Cozy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giulia Ammannati | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ledecka | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Kind | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Sprout | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safari Queen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clover Bottom | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Banks | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shortlist | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Good Man | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Swords | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incorporate | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greek Prince | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shan Dian Kia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Black Stetson | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Golden Emperor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Swing Step | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hymn’s Sylvia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bibbo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | The Great Provider | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | Not a Chance | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Get a Valentine | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Cheese On | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Colmont Fire | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Lobkowicz Palace | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vinaigrette | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Toma | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mae Sai Princess | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Monaco Princess | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Awesome | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Havennow | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Catwalk Whiz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alleria | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | After Jody | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pepper Pot | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Madding Crowd | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gracely | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Graceful Request | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ortinola | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.