May 11, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stella B. | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mija Bella | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Only Essa | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evil Woman | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kisskiss Telltell | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glowing Star | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spartak | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kairos | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back to Us | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lt. Columbo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Damocles Sword | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Danzig Partner | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Obviously Dramatic | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Railroad Bill | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ravage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Finn’s Posse | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Risque’s Affair | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lawyer Roy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devilry | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | King Victoria | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dramatized | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vidarr | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Simpleton | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Succeed Quietly | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fire Ant | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vocab | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sparty | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tempestuous Angel | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gotta Get Away | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Half Ton of Fun | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Graymond | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buzz With Alex | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Banker’s Island | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Debonaire Man | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Argumentative | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Love That Chick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Sugar Included | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Point Lockout | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ocean Court | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Way Over Budget | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pastiche | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | You’re My Lady | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jerseymooseisloose | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Timely Pleasure | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Artistic Drifter | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elevated | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Got Talent | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Learner | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Romance | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drosselmagic | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Prosperity | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | These Blues | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | His Royal Majesty | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Cowboy Night | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Adventist | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grit’n’grind | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Team Ribot | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Breezing Bye | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | New Jersey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Neva’s Gal | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Primo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secret Zar | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Forecast | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gambit’s Girl | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Helotes | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.