May 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Segismundo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Vita Dolce | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fritzen | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colman Joseph (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Connolly Station | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Union | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secret Boyfriend | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unpublished | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Feather | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Avast Matey | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Money Train | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Warrior | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Native Hawk | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Fine Ride | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr Harlan | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Gator | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burnt Bluff | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dixieland Dudes | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Rose | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Princess | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Blondie Run | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai’sfirstlady | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Nicole | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Specialcnsydration | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thanks Mom | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Magic | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sonar | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carolyn’s Smile | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gladita | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Society | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love of Glory | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Tunes | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Northern | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mr Joshua | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Squadron | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lewis Vale | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant’s Voice | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Dude | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Heat | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Tale | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royalston | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Resident | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Polite Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Soupery Dupery | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Overleveraged | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Carats | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King Wade | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m a Catman | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bibliotecario | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macgyver K C | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bellamy Street | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Yolanda | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cousin | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Embur’s Zip | 2.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dienda | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capture the Genie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marrens Marvel | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aaliyah Marie | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Blondy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isadelas Dream | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Globalprincesscoco | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Venezuelan Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hollywood Overdogs | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Moonstricking | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic Dancer | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thorpe d’Oro | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemologister | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Escarapela | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nairobi | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Softball | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Million Heir | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Throne | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shanghai Levi | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Bad Hombre | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don Fager | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Palimpsest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Run Rite | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chandler’s Drama | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scribe | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Count | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Approval | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Guard | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Masterofintention | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Stand Corrected | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Armando R | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Manicomio | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somethinstappin | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unfiltered | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Santiamen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Kroy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Jordan | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hy Riverside | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Squeeze | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Garter and Tie | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Three Rules | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Front Loaded | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Driven by Thunder | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sarasota County | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Polar Jet | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Colormepompom | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Florida Cotton | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trio of Champions | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gnarly | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Tiger | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chinomado | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drill Down Dude | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Warrior Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Awesome Stack | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Buttonhook | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lawyer Drill | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valid Exchange | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mister Storm | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thinkingofcharles | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Step Slew | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Man | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fried Plantaine | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whiskey Bay | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Man Mike | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.