May 11, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Graysee Jo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Eyesa Streakin Chick | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Watch My Paint | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winnin Blood | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Oceanfrnt | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss My Six | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rh Shake Em Dreams | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Im So Game | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dash Fast Jess | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | St Pats Fast | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atimely Touch | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Secrets Doubleshot | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blu Jeans | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Provocatives Dashin | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paint Your Jewels | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da Boss Hoss | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jessa Mystery Guy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Angry Bird B | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good Oak | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tdz Shesagamechanger | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rm Making Shine | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dyslexic | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prisca Jrd | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Am a Cosino Bunny | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sage Kimzey | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlite Patriot | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Leavin Sunset | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lundi Gras Dash | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Runaway With Mee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eton | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love You Blue | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomingprincezydeco | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cc See U At the Lake | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune for Moma | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charge de Kas | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jlc Indiana Jones | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jjj Runaway Cartel | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoop | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Count Azoom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess an Ocean | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dontstopbeleaving | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salute Wave Carver | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marks Women Will | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ouachita Warrior | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pk Mia Fast Kat | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Mother’s Day S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moon Dash Cartel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Corona Carmelita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Lil Biscuit | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flamin Hot Fortune | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Monees Fast Cash | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Corona Down Perry | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ss Classyjess | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prove a Point | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Senator Lege | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Psychopath | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Fortune | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blew by You | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Triple Perry | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jc Bandy | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jess Flash Me Candy | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scooch Over Patriot | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Follow My Wagon | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Pilot Tee | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Kind of Game | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tinys First Patriot | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Rebs Lil Runaway | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Nine Go | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tm Candy Crusher | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kc Ima Keep Running | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Leader | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Futurity) – Old South Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ivory Bones | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasin de Stars | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chicks Ivory House | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Worth a Google | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apolitical Xpression | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Daddy Jewel | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Game Jess | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dash Master Queen | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Locomotiv | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Worthy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Famous Money Eagle | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Wattle | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Heza Forever Lucky | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Ima Macho Macho Man | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Jess Rock N Rogue | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Ld Big John Leaving | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Em Jess Ronas Cash | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Mg Wave Your Girl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brimm Reaper | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Disco Hero | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.