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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2019

May 11, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Graysee Jo 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Eyesa Streakin Chick 2.50 1.3 3-1
10 9 Watch My Paint 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 Winnin Blood 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Coronas Oceanfrnt 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Kiss My Six 12.00 3 6-1
5 4 Rh Shake Em Dreams 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Im So Game 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Dash Fast Jess 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 St Pats Fast 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Atimely Touch 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Secrets Doubleshot 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Blu Jeans 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Provocatives Dashin 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Paint Your Jewels 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Da Boss Hoss 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Jessa Mystery Guy 10.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Angry Bird B 2.50 1.4 3-1
10 10 Good Oak 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Tdz Shesagamechanger 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Rm Making Shine 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dyslexic 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Prisca Jrd 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 I Am a Cosino Bunny 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sage Kimzey 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Starlite Patriot 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Corona Leavin Sunset 20.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lundi Gras Dash 2.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Runaway With Mee 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Eton 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Love You Blue 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Zoomingprincezydeco 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cc See U At the Lake 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fortune for Moma 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Charge de Kas 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jlc Indiana Jones 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Jjj Runaway Cartel 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Hoop 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Count Azoom 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Jess an Ocean 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Dontstopbeleaving 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Salute Wave Carver 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Marks Women Will 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ouachita Warrior 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Pk Mia Fast Kat 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Mother’s Day S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Moon Dash Cartel 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Corona Carmelita 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Lil Biscuit 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 4 Flamin Hot Fortune 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 2 Monees Fast Cash 4.50 2 4-1
6 5 Corona Down Perry 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Ss Classyjess 5.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prove a Point 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Senator Lege 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 Psychopath 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jess Fortune 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 7 Blew by You 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 5 Triple Perry 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Jc Bandy 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Jess Flash Me Candy 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Scooch Over Patriot 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Follow My Wagon 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Ms Pilot Tee 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Lucky Kind of Game 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tinys First Patriot 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Tf Rebs Lil Runaway 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Two Nine Go 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Tm Candy Crusher 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Kc Ima Keep Running 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Heza Leader 15.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Futurity) – Old South Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ivory Bones 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Chasin de Stars 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Chicks Ivory House 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Worth a Google 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Apolitical Xpression 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Big Daddy Jewel 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 A Game Jess 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Dash Master Queen 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Locomotiv 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Jess Worthy 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Famous Money Eagle 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Wattle 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Heza Forever Lucky 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Ima Macho Macho Man 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 6 Jess Rock N Rogue 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Ld Big John Leaving 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Em Jess Ronas Cash 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Mg Wave Your Girl 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Brimm Reaper 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Disco Hero 20.00 5.1 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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