May 11, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Vagrancy H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dawn the Destroyer | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenhasmynikki | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Separationofpowers | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Gale | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Disguise | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lion Dance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Skywriting | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Principled | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majority Rules | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muchacho | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Jump for Joy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Black Belt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aunt Babe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Purrageous Dyna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brooke Marie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Deal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Jimi Bags | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Science Fiction | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Enthusiastic Gal | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Dance Till Dawn | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mystique | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Harkness | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 3 | Movie Score | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ardara Belle (FR) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Factoring | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid Heart | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Campaign | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Winston | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Case | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Jeopardy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Field Patrol | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dreammaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Duncastle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Burning Man | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rhode Island | 1.20 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calamity Kat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crypto Gold | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Boss | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Choice | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lundqvist | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shiloh Lane | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Is My Wine | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calling Cairo | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tio Blas | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ummu Ummu Ummu | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seediskid | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seethisquick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Felix in Fabula | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Still Krz | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have Another | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coltandmississippi | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lazarus Project | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beaugay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Competitionofideas | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chipolata (FR) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homerique | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andina Del Sur | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Binti Al Nar (GER) | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matty’s Magnum | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15A | 15 | La Vida | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Star of the East | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Come Storming | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Varenka | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Romantic Pursuit | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mrs. Got Rocks | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tip At Tapit | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Structural Deficit | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Saffira | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Flowers | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lido Key | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Saria (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Elite Mom | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inspector Havers | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pallas Athene | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Recruiting Ready | 1.60 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Raison | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firenze Fire | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Escape | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magic Wand (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arklow | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zulu Alpha | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Channel Maker | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Focus Group | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunting Horn (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epical | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Village King (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kulin Rock | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tenency | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bears Mafia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wisecrack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Paddy Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Elektronic | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Qian B C | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Grin | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Mint | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Disguise | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dove Shoot | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Noble Cause | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Adios Amigos | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Sinner Is You | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mounted Cop | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.