May 10, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Formal Dude | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Springs Eternal | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River God | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temple Secret | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Dancer | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rightful | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Champ | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Third Army | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Comes the Dream | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear the Mine | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bay Area | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harrovian | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Seven | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Could Be the One | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roses for Laura | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegan | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indias Lute | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goveness Sheila | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheap Cheap Cheap | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Dream Is a Wish | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Had Enough K P | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Anonymously | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Persephone | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seaside Dancer | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Klaus | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Norwegian | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Belong to Becky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Arch Prince | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Top of the Game | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Treasure Hunter | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cabin John | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Very Very Stella | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scathing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pied N True | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Lostintranzlation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoovie | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Marjorie E | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sedamar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drop the Mic | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Miss Voluptuous | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Be Lifted Up | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hotitude | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uno Trouble Maker | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Convince | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Red Seven | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be a Lady | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Ice | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Yes I Am Free | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Mandate | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nice Work | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss That Kat | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alleva | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boa Nova (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rickey B | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Down (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carnivorous | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled’s Skye | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.