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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 10, 2019

May 10, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Naughty Thoughts 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Always Talking 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Turide 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Hello Beautiful 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Aim for the Stars 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lady George 8.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bust Another 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 In Arrears 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Joopster 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Nicholas and Me 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Field Advantage 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Stomp Dance 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Birdies Honor 15.00 3.4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chapel Gap 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 E Lizzy 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Justgimmeakiss 1.40 1.7 3-1
2 2 Kresses 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Cosita Rica 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Crookit 6.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Social Stranger 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Dazzling Okie 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Federal Walk 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bowman’s Beast 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Runabout 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mythos 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Meow 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Beautiful Maiden 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Meddybemps 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Shifra Magician 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Capucine 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Delightful Lana 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 7 Fed Up Fired Up 5.00 3 6-1
7 6 Haley’s Thunder 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sally O’Prado 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sir Bond 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cobh 2.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Free to Trump 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 To the Hilt 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Peak Performance 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Greely Is Back 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dr. Cerrato 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Sventastic 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fifties Music 20.00 4 8-1
11 10 Valid Redeemer 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Witchy’s Laststand 50.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Close the Deal 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Hot Friesia 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cover Photo 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Frigid Sister 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Riproaring 15.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Allison K 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Mrs. Crews 4.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Time Flies By 1.40 1.7 3-1
8 8 Love Me Thrice 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cyclobomb 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Railmaster 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ready to Run 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Rising Perry 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dapper Mun 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Belmullet 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Align the Numbers 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nico Bree N Teej 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Torch of Truth 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Thatwouldbegrand 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Hall Pass 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Royal Hussar 10.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Great Herman 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Baptize the Boy 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Day the Music Died 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Odds On 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Makewayforjerry 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Takemetodinner 20.00 5.4 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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