May 10, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Thoughts | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Talking | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turide | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Beautiful | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aim for the Stars | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady George | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bust Another | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | In Arrears | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joopster | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicholas and Me | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Advantage | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stomp Dance | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Birdies Honor | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chapel Gap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | E Lizzy | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justgimmeakiss | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kresses | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cosita Rica | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crookit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Social Stranger | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Okie | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Federal Walk | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bowman’s Beast | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runabout | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mythos | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Meow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Maiden | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Meddybemps | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shifra Magician | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capucine | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delightful Lana | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fed Up Fired Up | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Haley’s Thunder | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sally O’Prado | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sir Bond | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cobh | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free to Trump | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | To the Hilt | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peak Performance | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greely Is Back | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Cerrato | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sventastic | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifties Music | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Valid Redeemer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Witchy’s Laststand | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Close the Deal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hot Friesia | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cover Photo | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frigid Sister | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riproaring | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allison K | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mrs. Crews | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time Flies By | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Me Thrice | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cyclobomb | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Railmaster | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Run | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rising Perry | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dapper Mun | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belmullet | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Align the Numbers | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nico Bree N Teej | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torch of Truth | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thatwouldbegrand | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hall Pass | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Hussar | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Herman | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baptize the Boy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Day the Music Died | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odds On | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Makewayforjerry | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takemetodinner | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.