May 10, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Streakin Train B | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpn Like Jordan | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capteena | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tdz Jes On Fire | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Lipstick | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shiny Regent | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Tactic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Painted Train | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dd Cricket | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sergeant Sizzle | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Dressblues | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Im Mighty Fast | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Bark | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dwaynes First Perry | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nl Roll N Toast | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rakin in the Jax | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ap Shine On Me | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Jesse James | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kr Mr Winter | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shut Up and Fish | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mya Patriot | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City Street Yg | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Regal | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dlw I Gotcha | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rrunaway Tres | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copa Deaces | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reeba Cleata | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Airbrush | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Tressels Going Grand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Seis Train B | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mia Favoritta | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pk Heza Blazen Rogue | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tlc Sinner | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pop the Bubbly | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tf Sheza Jumpn Chic | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sierra Grande | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perry Mouse Tale | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Strut for Petes Sake | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stolis Imperial | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Black Hunter | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rdd Pure Sensations | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Some Quick Politic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spicey Corona | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess for Carol Ann | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyz Black Jet | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashin Fast Rogue | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scooping Up Coronas | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Ttt Terrible Corona | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Abby Grace | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Summerpatriot | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sparklingonthebeach | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jw Southern | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Tm All In | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Patriotsnblue | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Nl Juniors Toast | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Genuine Ver Million | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Aintnosugar Inmytank | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Open Me A Corona S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lightemupwithcharm | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Featuring Fast Jess | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | San Lorenzo Corona | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gunna Be Alright | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Achievopiloto | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jls Dash N Fire | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Sonic Patriot | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Made Man | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sizzlin On Da Bayou | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ho Lotta Game | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purdy Moma | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fast N Fun Jordan | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Caliente Royal | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuckers Prize | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyondsizzlinsmiles | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zoomin for Alex | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Point Three | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mary Faye | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Shadows Fantasy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Hispanic | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Old South Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dominyun Cartel | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anasttasia | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Jet In | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parti Wagon | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thinkin Man | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Rowdy Cartel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess C Me Zoom | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melas Miracle | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rkm Perry Full Moon | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Like Corona | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | U R Jess Blue | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rios Obsession | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Black Felissa | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bibbity Bobbity Blue | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On Point | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Black Design | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt Axshun | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jess Bar | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Vay Dell | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dj Star | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.