May 9, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Wil | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Youdge | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grandiflora | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Lion | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fly E Dubai | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uplifting | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Ain’t Never | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Total Access | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | So Street | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get There John | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | On the Turf | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musta Never Met U | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just One Not Two | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Hearts | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Madame Tiger | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eye On Berlin | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No More Excuses | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sister Aim | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Tschetter | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aggregator | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen of Schmooze | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cause He’s Western | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby the Brain | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promote | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotham News | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Proud Wildcat | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battle Ready | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Mas Grande | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayne’s Fever | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Berliner | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cort’n Asong | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Front Line Paige | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minister’s Strike | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daystrike | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tero | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Two a T | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Agenda | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kustaafu | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mike the Tiger | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charismatic Blue | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey Gotcha | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Cream Dude | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sun Bahram | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Too Much Time | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hug On Nolan | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday Fighter | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Nautical Nature | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Day the Music Died | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Division One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | More Abundance | 3.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Love You Much | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jarvis Steel | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Midnight Justice | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Godlovesasinner | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | You Can Never Tell | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brooks Robinson | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Made It | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warrioroftheroses | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Throw the Fade | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sanavi | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aveenu Malcainu | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brighton Lane | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rivington | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crush It | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Storm Net | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Brickyard Kitten | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zen’s Land | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Game | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Louie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bay Bridge | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lon’s True Passion | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.