May 9, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chorus Line | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Free Kitty | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Lion in Wait | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Crimson Frost | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Munnings | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Romantic Moment | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tanya’s Gem | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Orbolution | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Micromillion | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Sneaky Surprise | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Women Not Easy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Song | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Morning Star | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rewarded | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Final Say | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Skywriting | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mythajacul | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chantry Flats | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Mans Land | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiberius Mercurius | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Militiaman | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Dancer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bad Boy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tide of the Sea | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Playful Cat | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Poker Game | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Collins Ave | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thomond Park | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | False Info | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Traffic Stop | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spinning Kitten | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Hero | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trance | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Who’s Driving | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Craigville Beach | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh K Funnybone | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Binkster | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H Man | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Dan | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Star Bunt | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manifest Destiny | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | San Juan Diego | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Shea Can U See | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ribbonite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ivy’s College Fund | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Nisha | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Riot Worthy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Arewehavingfunyet | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Letmetakethiscall | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Treatherlikestar | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Exceed the Goal | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ola Gatita | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lion Dance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Real Money | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Sayyaaf | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Humor | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8C | 6 | Pickle Rick | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kulik Bear | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11C | 9 | Miami Mumbles | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Taamer | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7B | 5 | Northern Haze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9B | 7 | Soul Fight | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flat Out S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forewarned | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | G Zap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Rocketry | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monongahela | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Marconi | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Tom | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tour de Force | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Ruvies in Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Love and Love | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Orchid Party | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Simona | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Three Birds | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ailish | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Merlins Muse | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sadie Lady | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Dreamin | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lila Ruth | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tappanzee | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Countable | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ja’s Malibu | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mom’s Kisses | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amanda Lane | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tradeable | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.