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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 9, 2019

May 9, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chorus Line 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Free Kitty 1.20 SCRATCH
7 5 Lion in Wait 1.60 1.5 3-1
5 3 Crimson Frost 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 6 Miss Munnings 1.80 1.7 3-1
6 4 Romantic Moment 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 2 Tanya’s Gem 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Orbolution 3.50 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Micromillion 0.80 1.2 2-1
1A 1 Sneaky Surprise 0.80 1.4 3-1
6 6 Women Not Easy 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 American Song 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Lil Morning Star 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Rewarded 10.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Final Say 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Skywriting 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Mythajacul 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chantry Flats 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 No Mans Land 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tiberius Mercurius 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Militiaman 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Pioneer Dancer 4.00 2.6 5-1
11 8 Bad Boy 8.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Tide of the Sea 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Playful Cat 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Poker Game 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Collins Ave 1.40 1.7 3-1
2 2 Thomond Park 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 False Info 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Traffic Stop 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Spinning Kitten 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Honorable Hero 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Trance 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Who’s Driving 10.00 3.4 6-1
11 10 Craigville Beach 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Oh K Funnybone 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Binkster 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 H Man 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Real Dan 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Five Star Bunt 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Manifest Destiny 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sicilia Mike 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 San Juan Diego 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 O Shea Can U See 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ribbonite 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ivy’s College Fund 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wildcat Belle 10.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Nisha 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 4 Riot Worthy 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 7 Arewehavingfunyet 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 2 Letmetakethiscall 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 5 Treatherlikestar 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 3 Exceed the Goal 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 6 Ola Gatita 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lion Dance 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tri Saint Lorenzo 10.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Real Money 3.00 1.8 3-1
1A 1 Sayyaaf 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Point of Humor 4.00 2.3 4-1
8C 6 Pickle Rick 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Kulik Bear 6.00 2.5 5-1
11C 9 Miami Mumbles 4.00 3.1 6-1
3A 3 Taamer 2.50 3.2 6-1
7B 5 Northern Haze 8.00 4.1 8-1
9B 7 Soul Fight 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flat Out S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forewarned 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 G Zap 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Rocketry 1.80 1.3 3-1
1 1 Monongahela 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 5 Marconi 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Twisted Tom 6.00 2 4-1
4 3 Tour de Force 6.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Ruvies in Time 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Love and Love 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Orchid Party 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Simona 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Three Birds 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ailish 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Merlins Muse 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 7 Sadie Lady 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 She’s Dreamin 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Lila Ruth 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Tappanzee 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Countable 12.00 4 7-1
10 9 Ja’s Malibu 15.00 4.2 8-1
12 11 Mom’s Kisses 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Amanda Lane 30.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Tradeable 15.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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