May 5, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rinse and Repeat | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Continental Divide | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foster Boi | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Ethos | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast as Cass | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preaching Trainer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minoso | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Bay | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Smartee | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Image | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reedley | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vermeer | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swamp Souffle | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contagion | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tikkun Olam | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blue Skye Jade | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Storm | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friday’s At Shady | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Sage | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spectator’s Dream | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jonathantoquick | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Fury | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tastemaker | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aussie Fox | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armed Wall | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boru | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refractometer | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beleth | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sly | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arcaro | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madman | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passing | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | On Easy Street | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flammetta | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Achira | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meal Ticket | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mirth | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonless Sky | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Peintour | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anna Pavlova (SAF) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tough But Nice | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kochees | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Stalk Me | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Equity | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Staxx | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | No Parking Here | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jetovator | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Seam | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Jockey | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Birthday | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jamming Eddy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desmond Doss | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Bye Putin | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flicflac | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unusually Handsome | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gooch Express | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.