May 5, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Call Me | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Blue | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raging Fire | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Lane | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thank You So Much | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Free Coffee | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Painted Image | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mrs Stinkman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blue Jean Kitten | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 1 | Zandora | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Kickin Kimberly | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Avocado | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Bizness Beauty | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | G. T. Sonia | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starlite Mission | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble for Skylar | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowl of Kisses | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Lightnin Strike | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cathy Naz | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Me Roses | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dearly Declared | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rossellini | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lough Na Mona | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crescent Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Star of the East | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | J J Jen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 6 | Lady Macho | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Princess Pinky | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caralicious | 50.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Recess | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Two Graces | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Magic Fairy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Violetas Visions | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Waving Flags | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Nova Sol (GER) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cafe Americano | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stefanie On Fleek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Two Dozen Roses | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Passing Out | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Western Curl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Cassies Dreamer | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Zee Drop | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Figure It Out | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Style and Grace | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Distorted News | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simply Fast | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Irish Lassie | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bel Cuore | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Flair | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vampish | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Meadow Mist | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Pleasantly | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Big Gemmy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Playwright | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ro Bear | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamax Prime | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doups Point | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whistling Birds | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Twenty Nine | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trip Ups | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Thicket | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Come Dancing | 0.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Wind | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Sands | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frostie Anne | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Studio | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Private Beach | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quasar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Liza Jambalaya | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Restructure | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Mischief | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Effiemeister | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gottahaveaholiday | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hunting Season | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Cairo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.