May 4, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Play Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Derby Champ | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Storm Seeker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dubnation | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juggles | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Gronk | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jen Go Unchained | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Posterize | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elusive Flame | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peedie | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joey Boots | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Claim | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Delta Forum | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Angels Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hard Not to Love | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaking Out | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthediamonds | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Master | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss My Rose | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Rate | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Star Cast (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hostess (GB) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ladymidtown | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Fork | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Hard Arch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Desert General | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Implicitly | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point Guard | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Camino de Estrella | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Union Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zest | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Confidently | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie Arroway | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Island | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Kiss | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Bigly | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kathryn’s Sky | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catch the Eye | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thought I’dmissyou | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tagline | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clochard Street | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Concur | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Trump | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Triple | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Blame | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aced | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Eddie | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vander Kelen | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kidmon | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Curtain | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Patrick | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaymin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin B | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Down Cats | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flagstaff | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coil Me Home | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dia de Pago | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Street | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Cornell | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oggonis | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Cobra | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kazan (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Count Alexander | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | United | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Air Vice Marshal | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreams of Valor | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harbour Master (GB) | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Eagle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mesut | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starting Bloc | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | True Mischief | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ma Bella | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlet | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Lake | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Much Happy | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gas Can | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apples Arch | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hang a Star | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Road Rager | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Breezy Bee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Boldest Vow | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Pleasure | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Stepper | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daybreak (GB) | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sapori Girl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kittyhawk Lass | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heathers Grey | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acadia Fleet | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | K P Satellite | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Can Partie | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuyahoga Falls | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dulverton Darling | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.