May 4, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sutton Impact | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Family Code | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Guy Ian | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chip Van Winkle | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joan’s Delight | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sladens Dream | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Redneck Attack | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Long Station | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Get That Box | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Joey B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tonedaddy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Mischief | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Catomine | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Chrome | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | After Hours | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stan’s Old Habits | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justin Zee | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Storminside | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vacanza | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bango Box | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Overanalyzfakenews | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Collection | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ramblingrudyrags | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Denali Cherokee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | R H Smoakem | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | All for Truth | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Purrfectpersuasion | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m River | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Data Gold | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Shoe Money | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Forestry’s Buddy | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dixie Lover | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Burtnjoe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Officer Griggs | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Detroit Cowboy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Munyak | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh So Tall | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daddy’s Gone | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got Mojo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mostly Sunny | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light Bound Bid | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iza Innocent | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silverado Road | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Comic Bird | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Haus | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Presley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Time | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annie and Caroline | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Chill | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fox Alert | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Complex Analysis | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Emerald Queen | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unsweet Tea | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flatter My Heart | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savedbestforlast | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ms Fifty First St. | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Easter Indy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Eqho | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Whispering Speaker | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Served Cold | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Girl Power | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clever Serve | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Summer’s Indy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Christmas Sky | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Glamorized | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mostly Awesome | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Incorrigible | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Mo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Beautiful | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Legacy | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Copper King | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zoomer | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Staccato | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twobirdsonestone | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honoring Major | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Calle Patron | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just a Coinkydink | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Glacken’s Ghost | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | K J’s Nobility | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Star | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Hoonani Road | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bebop Shoes | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mallard’s Bro | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Midnight Ruler | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chantmeupbaby | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bandit Point | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dutch Treat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | East Moon Lake | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Passage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Tough | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chris and Dave | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adulator | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Retirement Fund | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Extirpator | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catdaddy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eisenstaedt | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chief of Staff | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Imma Bling | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fascilitator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Smart Spree | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentrified | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Pro | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dan the Go to Man | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Getoffmyback | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Basic Chance | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bow and Arrow | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Data Driven | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mines Made Up | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harvey Wallbanger | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Math Wizard | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roiland | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Ruler | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Laughing Fox | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shang | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comedian | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Night Ops | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proverb | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Indeed | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chess Chief | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Samicean (GER) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Trust | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Gulch | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 3 | The Rouge Diesel | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Husky Clipper | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Ucanthankmelater | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tales of War | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Consultation | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Treasury Bill | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Yeowzer | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.