May 4, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lebda | 0.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promising Pistol | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Sweat | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Moonstruck | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quad Eights | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Love | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rouxhere | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Quality | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iwishiwaspecial | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sidewalk Prophet | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disco Express | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Correjon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Union Blues | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Whateveryouwant | 0.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parade of Nations | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Cowboy | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Helloitsme | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keuka Roller | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Made It | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyingontheground | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brenda’s G L P | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodnight Moon | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mortal Storm | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Bella | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weekend Flyer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Streak | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pep Talking | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rough Sea | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reno Grande | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Flattered | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stunning Baby | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Rain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Paz the Wine | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L. A. House | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unique Humor | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Doozy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petticoatsnpistols | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Brown | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missimard | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moscows Got Talent | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tizadoozi | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jersey’s Kittens | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancingwithpaynter | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pugilist | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Jane | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Untruthful Sonnet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of the Wildcat | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yours to Keep | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ice Docket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Nation | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Purpose | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quickhatch | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Czar | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Trips | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easter Vigil | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Badaboom | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquistodor Fuego | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bay Bridge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Makewayforjerry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Legend’s Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Cozy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Knock Raid | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beltway Bob | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nakamura | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daniel Le Deux | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broad Expanse | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can He Shine | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bowsprit | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Earned It | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sonic Boom E Jet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dirtyfoot | 2.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tempt Me Twice | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passcode | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finbar | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Crusader | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Squibnocket | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Lantern | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roman Holiday | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Aventura | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kojo’s Queen | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arbutus | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manhattan Lady | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Killmain | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boom Boom Gone | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Prospect | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Height of Thestorm | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Star | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Carlin Run | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zonda | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fairy Wish | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.