May 4, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Billy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Brushed by Fire | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlinsdale | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mad Sweeney | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sterling Canyon | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rocky Diplomat | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Csabawaba | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Friend Linus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Generalist | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazed | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Caesar | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucacito | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapitontheside | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dangerus Notion | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Lippi Lorenzo | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Hide the Candy | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Queen | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For the Road | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Chocolate Chip | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Man | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Leonard | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Moon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Max Crown | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Ocean | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Swivel | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Key Cheyne | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Theyallcomehome | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hirschbein | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Irish | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Tipit | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrock | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Seve | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matter of Factor | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wizard of Odds | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Butch Cassidy | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Sarge | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Rivet | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocky the Kid | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | More Front | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Train Game | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notionality | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardcore Folklore | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Judge | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daper’s Drink | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avante Light | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baseline | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Alfred | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch My Dust | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Whammy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Strip | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey’s Medal | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s My Uncle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | SOLE ON FIRE | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | UPTOWN WTF | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | TEXAS STYLE CS | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | MARSANNE MHF | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | ROYAL MOONLIGHT | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | IRIDESSE | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | BR ANAHITA | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.