May 3, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Owlette | 1.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Society’s Story | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Good Witch | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Act | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boscobel | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Vision | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cove | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excommunicate | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Day | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold n’ Foxy | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Julie’s Tap Dancer | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lindatalks | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fort Wise Treaty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daylight Breeze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Drink in My Hand | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Distinct Passion | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon First | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunner Ben | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Finest | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Wonder | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ambitious Moon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Patriotic | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Niigon’s Spin | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wings of Dawn | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marwoods War | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Uncle Drew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | In a Twist | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vaughan | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Theregoesjojo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Serengeti Cat | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Morning Jack | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Apatow | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unseen Angels | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madison Way | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Fox | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Westlodge Intrigue | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Fabiana | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diva On a Dime | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Connection | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Danzig Rainbow | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Forester | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bangla Dancer | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opeongo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drinks On Maggie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congeniality | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Light My Path | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trickeration | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accolades Galore | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Your Silence | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonny’s Dream | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugati | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Moro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jade’s Journey | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.