May 3, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Captivate | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Georgie Hyphen (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune of War (GB) | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alfareed | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Magico | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Kat | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handsome John | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Out of Control | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Glitter Gulch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss You Mother | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Appolina | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Meritocracy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fashion Dream | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Curryforthree Bang | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Point Received | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Interesting Times | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Miss Omnipotent | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Railman | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bully for Eric | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asano | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oliver | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forestation | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Over Emphasize | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Creed | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truffalino | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Bubbles | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Out of Balance | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Italia (SPA) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Graces (GB) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bad Boy Leroy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Italiano | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Littlebitamedal | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rainbow Squall | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leroy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buckys Pick | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passionate Reward | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K Thirty Eight | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Bango | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Wire | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Cha Cha | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cono | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’teatmycookies | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whirling | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hailey Rachele | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gia Lula | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party Hostess | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Red Stich | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mixed Emotions | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gayebird | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Asem | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speakerofthehouse | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Parsimony | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Takeo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mo Reserve | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T Bones Trick | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Rage | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nolde | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Meister | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zorich | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do Not Swipe Left | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Farquhar | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | M Town Gem | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Third Army | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.