May 3, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Miss M Kays Deputy |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wilbur’s Runaway |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Samurai Ranger |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Real Mojito |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Be Stormy |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Steel Wheels |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Blondies Mine |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saygoodnight Mabel |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Geertz’s Gal |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reign of Terror |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Kitty Kitty |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cat Waltz |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Miz Oklahoma Blues |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Schuyler Warrior |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blessed Song |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wait N C Spring |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Native Wonder |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sidepocket Bet |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Intoxicating Kiss |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sea Treaty |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hunters Appeal |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ziptime |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Gordo |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Real Heat |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
K Street |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Papa Rizzo |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Super Bound |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Haulin’ Freight |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
True Power |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seeking Fast |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fearless Kitty |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mascarpone |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Painted Canyon |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Knight Commander |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncle Chad |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charlie’s Lucky |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Easton Express |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Riding the Train |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
That’s What I Say |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rockin Rog |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Stella Marie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bye Love Gotta Go |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clear Creedence |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Maker |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elizabeth Rules |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Girls in Charge |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queans Altar |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
P J’s Memories |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Domitia |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bossy Em |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jack’s Party Girl |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daaherachel |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ryrysweetie |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Olive Oyl |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leighton Kentucky |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
I’m Nasty Too |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glitzy Lady |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Runfastandloud |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fire to Rain |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
C J Omega |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Gio Nasty One |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red White and Loud |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stormin’ J. J. |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cooper’s Boy |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Philosopher |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brilliant Baby |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Equiphobia |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cha Cha Now Y’all |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Launch Light Dream |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Iowa Chrome |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.