May 3, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Out of Hydeing |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lifesbeengoodsofar |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Call Me Richard |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reckling |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hot Item |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dixie Fever |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
It Is Dejavu |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ameripoint |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Power Serve |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Wicked Gem |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reversaloffortune |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Baysider |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Foxrun |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Marshall Hill |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Horsefeathers |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Strong Arm |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Alex’s Heights |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Willie Ever Live |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Dontbefoolish |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Marvelous Thunder |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Lively Spell |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
6 |
Spunky Town |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Another Rocket |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1A |
4 |
Button Mushroom |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Blue Mermaid |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
5 |
Fetch’s Mon |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
8 |
Primary First |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
9 |
Sassy Olivia Ann |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Trintrin |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
10 |
Pleasure and Glory |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Firm Alexis |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiddly |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Laneys Love |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Dez |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jeweled Crown |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Portion |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lil Tater |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Primary Paula |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lynne T |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Little Spitfire |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
River Goddess |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
5 |
Girl Power |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
9 |
Time and Chance |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Cosmic Burst |
2.50 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Alex’s Bourbon |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Pretty Greeley |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lake Ponchatrain |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Kai Nalu |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ascot Day |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tough Irma |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Oxxon |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Golden Sceptor |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Around the Dial |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Afleet Sniper |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Loopallu |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Justice of War |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Curlin’s On Fire |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noble Egyptian |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Power End |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic Road |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Impressed |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Cosmic Hallelujah |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Home Run Trick |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meistermind |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marzo |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Combatant |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Verve’s Humor |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Promising Shoes |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coach Adams |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sonny Smack |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Determinant |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tommytoshort |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lost in Limbo |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Annualized |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bruder Bob |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Zip Your Lip |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Slick Silver |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beemie Award |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Freeze Line |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lea Ridge |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Grand Royale |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
J M White Lighting |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Exulting |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lenstar |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exclamation Point |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fight On |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Snapper Sinclair |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pioneer Spirit |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Colonelsdarktemper |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Malibu Max |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gato Guapo |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Secret House |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Matrooh |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ragatagtag |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
All About Clara |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Savvy Ally |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Caliente Candy |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unique Factor |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Kada |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
9 |
Q Go Girl |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oochie |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Shaharazad |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Bella Falaya |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Maggie Pie |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.