May 3, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queens Or Better | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allgotuptodance | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Mission | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millie Child | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foggy Dreams | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shackforlove | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keepupthemessage | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Odd Story | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Variance | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Uncaptured | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run for James | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Orinoco | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Nevermore | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Narrow Escape | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Kids | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Casby | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Alley | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G’s Warrior | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lily Rae | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simonela | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Younger Girl | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zira | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbsgray Lion | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mythos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Mas Grande | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Apolodorodedamasco | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Young American | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cause He’s Western | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory Hound | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drive At Nite | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Southern Barbecue | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chinnici | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Junction | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Force the Pass | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Twist | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John Jones | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Four Seven | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Hunter | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Dude | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bronx Sandman | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | English Heiress | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ravenel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Little Skiff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tass | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indigo Queen | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dendrobia | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why You Sassy | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trois Ponts | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Echo of Victory | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Venetian Drive | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crossingthevalley | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carson City Coin | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ten Oaks Miss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Well Hello | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bunting | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Questionoftheday | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jumping Michelle | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last Love | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Isabella | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Fear | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Yes Means No | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rough Sea | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Diten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Catauga County | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lime Hut | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Brother | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seville Barber | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Village Prince | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bulland | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | To Be Or Not to Be | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sofranko | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Watchmeneighneigh | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banishment | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Face | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luv the Painter | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lill Mave | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Girl Drama | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hashtag Selfie | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floating By | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gfour | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgemont High | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lonely Drifter | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Me Answers | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sierra Leona | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Postino’s Secret | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | We Hap Now | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayley Agnes | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shall We Dance | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iam a Dancer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Star | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forapennyforapound | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gaby Vee | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Muskoka | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simmard Shenanigan | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash in Mike | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Say Yes Di Di | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Necessary Drama | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.