April 28, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devilish Style | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prized Bourbon | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skippy Is Back | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Geocentric | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sing to Run | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capture Your Heart | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strike It Royal | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Meg Fitz | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ciuri | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vagary | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canary Song | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent Respect | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forestella | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Subzero Plus | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twitter Storm | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cindervella | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jail Time | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Travolta | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hardy Candy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hedeman | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Pound Sterling | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Fresh | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Piccadilly Beau | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harlem’s Saint | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Chick | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Explorationist | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Shenanigan | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dino Three O Nine | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Keon | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | First Crusader | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Presence | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West L. A. Girl | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlet Flutter | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Cash | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumlin Queen | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Nile | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alice’s War | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wando S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skywire | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Global Access | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Law | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Crushem | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Grey | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Insider Trading | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sure Would Forest | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Victor’s Way | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | White Wedding | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skynyrd | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Classic | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bokermin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor the Causeway | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Humbug | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harmony Hall | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.