April 28, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Into Rissa | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Bradley | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ricochet | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violette Szabo | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morgan’s Humor | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Va Va Voom | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Play Hard to Get | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dukes Up | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Pioneerof the West | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finallygotabentley | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muchos Besos | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Turf | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy the Juice | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Sentiment | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Daddyo | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Love | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calie View | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Suprema | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Daddys Real Diva | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Be Lucky | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Lady | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kirsch Truffle | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Singletary S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King of Speed | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shining Through | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Scott Daddy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rijeka (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neptune’s Storm | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasikan (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Urban Light (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast as Cass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ground Attack | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oh Man | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Do This | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nap Lajoie | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Terrible Ted | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ashleyluvssugar | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Hunt (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marckie’s Water | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unapologetic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Arabia | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzarunner | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | California Journey | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Beaumarchais | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Bobby | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Guinness | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamminwithbrandon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tartini | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pleasant d’Oro | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Great Ma Neri | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Moonshine Annie | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shylock Eddie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chasin Lucas | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scathing | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Emmy and I | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Square Peggy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Royality | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Settle It | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Erebuni | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.