April 26, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lngtermrelationshp | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Jacktastic | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon Country | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Snaggletooth | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Undercover Lover | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | I’m Corfu | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Bridle | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Harry | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Getaway | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Change of Control | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got It All | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Went With the Wind | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Martinis | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cowboys Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Scattered Strikes | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proud as Punch | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tweezer (IRE) | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Vez | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breakfast Pond | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Dream | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always Cool | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandy Lane Kitten | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Rover | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indian Counselor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Beautiful Wall | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joe Benjamin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Texas | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Smile Bryan | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Statesboro | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady’s Weekend | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Cross | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Crazy Sexy Munny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sport’n Forty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Senora Gato | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Style Icon | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Passionof the Nile | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Art of Almost | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zee Ro Drop | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tootsie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hadriana | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latest Version | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meu Amor | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Kiah | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Allonge | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rushingirl | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Wooderson | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Franknjymme | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Explorer | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tabia | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dahog | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uber Kirk | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lord Dragon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Americandy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Dull Knife | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent McCool | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Olympic Runner | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Originaire (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Counter Offer | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jais’s Solitude | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crafty Daddy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cambre | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misterbluesky | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Romance | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Istan Council | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady T N T | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Athens Queen | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Trouble | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Rain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bewitch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dynabee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sky Full of Stars (GER) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ickymasho (GB) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flower Party (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Flower | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maroubra (FR) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peru (GB) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gaining (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Samuna (FR) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coachwhip | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharpin | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lool Beh | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bess | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baladera | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katie’s Belle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Hannah | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aspens Little Zip | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ella Brown | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bling Springsteen | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | America’s Queen | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touch Blue | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.