April 24, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Another John | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Strut the Ring | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cookies Are Good | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peekacho | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Exton | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flashy Jewel | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buster Brown Boy | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Let’s Roll | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dynabee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zena Rules | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Gentle Ruler | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cured by Kitten | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sapphire Jubilee | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lacustre (GB) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vanilla Cat | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | April Fifteenth | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Joy of Treasure | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | Tropical Wave | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Headley | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Clongiffen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Miss Understanding | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sooie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Magic Credit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Anna’s Fast | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Minniemorepromises | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Topless | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Thirstyamericangal | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Senorita Guzman | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Yougotanotion | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12A | 7 | Twila Mae | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Leah Angel (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Maid in the Mist | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Paynter | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Driver | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Rombauer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trick of the Tail | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strikingly Lovely | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lynda D | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angel Number | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Hanna Jo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Divinity | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cardiac Kitten | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | British Humor | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Prize | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mug Shot Man | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Psychoanalyze | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Norma’s Joy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scat Maggie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Amandrea | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Medb (IRE) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Keepme in Thegame | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Stamp | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Toscana | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sophie Antoinette | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Temple City Terror | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Woodfin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Beach House | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Puffer Fish | 50.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Passion Play | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandville | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galindo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Right Hand | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hitch | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Dial Minnie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cavaradossi | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Methodical | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factor This | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2A | 2 | One Last Strike | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | St. Denman | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fred’stwirlincandy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Im a Patriot | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Decree | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Farat | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Vegas Kitten | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul of the Hero | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wazzup Chuck | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Hair | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.