April 23, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Powerful Venezuela | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashonforty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Vow | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marty McFly | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Transitive | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Vinnie | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Superling | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empty House | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Reign | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sydney Time | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chorite | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thump | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Tweet | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rucksack | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vero Sun | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Jude | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manipulate | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spartak | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Behind the Bling | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slot | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raphael’s Promise | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Blame | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Accolade | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Metaphorical | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treasury Stock | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wheresthebarber | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Apache | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tew Ways | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chelios | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Wild | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vibe | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runs for Luck | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ask Chuck | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Might Be | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Recanted | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Revival | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doublethestyle | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spintalk | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Lines | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alwayslookeye | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deerstalker | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Rags | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shur Fox | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fist of Thor | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Saturday | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vocab | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hatteras Bound | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Staynsidethecircle | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Watch Your Words | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Debonaire Man | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gotta Get Away | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Howboutdempats | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bolara | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Octopythius | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Pirate | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Juan | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Every Step | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missin the Big Dog | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Templar | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wendy Wend | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forewarned | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Setter | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dan’s Girl | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doctorsofmischief | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celesse | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lendar | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bow Town Cat | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madame Tiger | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Daisy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proper Princess | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Coupella | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Candelita | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thatta Boy Girl | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dean’s Ticket | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mettemarlamelva | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Running Free | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Initforthelonghaul | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.