April 22, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Walk | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chocomount | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneymeister | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free to Trump | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Society | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time for Quality | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Express | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baccarat Fashion | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stakes On a Plane | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hip Hop | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marie From Parie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Friesia | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stetson Gold | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fanniebellefleming | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snippety | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarfree | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Creative Budgeting | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Welling | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Line Growth | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reds Winning Call | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benandjoe | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Marco | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sound Off | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sparty Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bob’s My Uncle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Seeking the Sunset | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brickyard Kitten | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Whammy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Lou | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Own Lane | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s One Wild Dude | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starry Messenger | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Allison K | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail the Queen | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starting Tour | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Type | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Refunds | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Di | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Freedom | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sue’s Fortune | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Off My Stage | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bearsatlanticmist | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finding Perfection | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Echo | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madame X. | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elevated Vision | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Slivers | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Eileen | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trufflesberg | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charity Stripe | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Ruth | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little United | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Schmooze | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gimme Kimmy | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greasedlightning | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prevailing Party | 2.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justgimmeakiss | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosita Rica | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Vale | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crookit | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chapel Gap | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Magician | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | East and Union | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Bonnie | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Request | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahkato | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forbidden Frolic | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alluring Prospect | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dajem | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ode to Joy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | English Heiress | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Still Processing | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.