April 21, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance Or Stroll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | May Flowers | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cobra Sophie | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady of Moray | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Forester | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cindervella | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prized Bourbon | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bangla Dancer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opeongo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazon Lizzie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bring It On Home | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Honeypotts | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goldrush Glory | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Springdetti | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modus Operandi | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldtown | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twice Around | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Islay Inlet | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Gimbala | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxxy Belle | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promise Me Bourbon | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fact Checking | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Emily | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toughing It Out | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Powell | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castle Gate | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | A Song for Artie | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Marc Andre | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitethebulletbro | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Star Shoot S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Malibu Dawn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Intanga Rose | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Gal Betty | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Peacock | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missmizz | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Si Si Tequila | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Gal (JPN) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special for You | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Soul | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kettle Valley | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Data Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fafa Fooey | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kid Forester | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Downy Boy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Courting a Kiss | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vividari | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Whippersnapper | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Ball | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Zapper | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Milwaukee Magic | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yallhaveaniceday | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Changue | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Margaritta | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be the Change | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hopehard | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Piper Hill | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.