Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 21, 2019

April 21, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dance Or Stroll 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 May Flowers 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Cobra Sophie 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 3 Lady of Moray 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Miss Forester 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Cindervella 8.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prized Bourbon 0.60 1.4 3-1
6 6 Bangla Dancer 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Opeongo 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Amazon Lizzie 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bring It On Home 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Miss Honeypotts 15.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Goldrush Glory 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Springdetti 1.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Modus Operandi 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Goldtown 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Twice Around 6.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Islay Inlet 2.50 1.6 3-1
1.7 3-1
5 5 Gimbala 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Foxxy Belle 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Promise Me Bourbon 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fact Checking 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Hurricane Emily 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Toughing It Out 8.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Powell 0.60 1 2-1
6 6 Castle Gate 3.50 1.7 3-1
1.7 3-1
2 2 A Song for Artie 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ari Gold Speedwagn 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 My Marc Andre 20.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Bitethebulletbro 20.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Star Shoot S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Malibu Dawn 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Intanga Rose 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 My Gal Betty 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Sister Peacock 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Missmizz 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Si Si Tequila 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Power Gal (JPN) 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Special for You 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Speedy Soul 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Kettle Valley 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Data Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Fafa Fooey 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 Kid Forester 1.60 2 4-1
5 4 Downy Boy 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Courting a Kiss 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Vividari 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 My Whippersnapper 4.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bluegrass Ball 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Cat Zapper 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Milwaukee Magic 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Yallhaveaniceday 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Mr Changue 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Flashy Margaritta 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Be the Change 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Hopehard 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Piper Hill 15.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.