April 20, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brookies Bear | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Lass | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mamba | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lillz So Precious | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Bad Girl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo in the Forest | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vaughan | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Gus We Trust | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Station Rock | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Warrior | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miriam’s Sky | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Narco | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cepelinas | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Undercover Cat | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Secret | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forester’s Forum | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Negotiations | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid’s Mischief | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stopvictimizingme | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Never Sober | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caspian Jewel | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moksgmol | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farfalla | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Brynlie | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adelle’s Princess | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H Is Just a Number | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin On a Cloud | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snell Flicka | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forest Fairy | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary of Scotts | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Justice | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Andher Court | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahone Bay | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Crossed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ladies Signature | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mislight | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Grace | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ka Gee Gee | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maritime Breeze | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Behave | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bobbit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Vengeance | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Tillie | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Be So Salty | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Rally | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eminent Force | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diddley | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greenfield | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carissimo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tinker Ring | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Whimsical S. Presented By Irish Thoroughbred Marketing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shakopee Town | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sly Beauty | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alnilah | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zestina | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Spell | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tarawa | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jacks Escarpment | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Nicola Thunder | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speight Swiftly | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circle of Friends | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ethanol | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Boy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crawl From the Bar | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harper P M | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Water Polo | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macho T | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Identity | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cat’s Whisper | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drena’s Bullet | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Like Me | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Charm | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lillz Not Crying | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.