April 20, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Goodtingscominpink |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Weather Market |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Lucky Lately |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
11 |
9 |
Radish |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
3 |
Stylin Ocean |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Whoa Nessie |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Y Not Sizzle |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Spanish Channel |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Probable |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Info’s Treasure |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Peace Pipe |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Blitz |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ack |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Palladium |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handsome John |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Poppy’s C Note |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Mr Classical |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Outlaw |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Union Station |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain N. Barron |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mongolian Empire |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Malibu Magic |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starship Chewy |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doheny Beach |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Gallantlystreaming (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Vangogo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Holly Hundy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Shanghai Truffles |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Flower Point |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Runaway Luck |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moreisbetter |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pricing |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Virginia Hall |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fabiolla (GB) |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Road Rager |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twinkle Dream |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Catch the Eye |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noble Goddess |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Kona Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dr. Dorr |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cistron |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kanthaka |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Out Blitz |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zatter |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tammy’s Window |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mongolian Window |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiny Tina |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Blame Judy |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Catoca |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Battleground State |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Confidentially |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Party Dancer |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Querelle |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Chay Up and Away |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Tiz Toffee |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Crackling Bread |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Heloise |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Copper Cowgirl |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Purdue |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reinahermosa |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mousey Mousey |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Stradella Road |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Space Talk (GB) |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady Mamba |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sapphire Kid |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peter’s Kitten |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Merger Arbitrage |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heart of the Nile |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Trustini |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Watheeqa |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mischief Miss |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Harliss |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wicken Fen |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Victor’s Show |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Senditlikechilly |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elite Motion |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rac |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carribean Colours |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fort Dodge |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Great Commission |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mighty Elijah |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.