April 20, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dreamer’s Moon |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don Vito’s Kitty |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz a Tribute |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Claire Bear |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Family Fortune |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flagged |
50.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Start Notizing |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Doublethestyle |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Ask Chuck |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
R Jolley Dreamer |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
6 |
Algorix |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Trilogy |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Collin’s Smile |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ok Now |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Prodigious |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Averyon |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Malandrina |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rio Vista |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Misses Knight |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Iwishirish |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Special Risk |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rove |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lagrats |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mrs. Rembrandt |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cornet |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Five More Minutes |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Pellagrino |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flat Out Flashy |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Peter G. Fox |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sunshine Crusader |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dubrovsky |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
My Danzig Partner |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Vow’s Son |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Dead Broke |
20.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harlan’s Dynamo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Six Blade |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eastern Front |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Loco Lobo |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lori’s Folly |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sambook |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Family Crest |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
I’ll Wrap It Up |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Creaky Cricket |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Got It |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
The Pooch |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Salt It Here |
1.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Eyed Ray |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Estrickator |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Arctic Schiller |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kelli’s Smile |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Splicethemainbrace |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Talent |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Philly Special |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Word On a Wing |
1.60 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cape May Ferry |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Arch Contender |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Smart and Tough |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rosie’s Notion |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Celesse |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Captain Sam |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Wildcat Combat |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
7 |
Flattering Ruby |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Peach Alley |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cognac Cutie |
30.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Whitney Cove |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Isabella Swift |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.