April 19, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Handsome John | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Troutman | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast as Cass | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vander Kelen | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Erotic | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Magico | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Asano | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Breakaway Dixie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sturdy One | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Todos Santos | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blooming Hannah | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Party Hostess | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caracortada | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hansen Tale Blues | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whata Flirt | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Honey | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilhelmina’s Girl | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempestuous Gal | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soprescious | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bams Lil River | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Suzzie | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diosa | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Tea All Shade | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blueberry Princess | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Staythirstymyamigo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Music | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artie B Good | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Encumbered | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Van Cortlandt | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Is the Word | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Guard | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snazzy Dresser | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Summer | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monydontspenitself | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kochees | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Shanty | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear the Mine | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Matriculate | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holland Road | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Could Be the One | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Original Intent | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Operandi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Halo Darlin | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anonymously | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cynthiana | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Equal Measure | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madaket Sunset | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Connie Girl | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jonathantoquick | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Insider | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Skye Jade | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple View | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palace Sage | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Storm | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meadway | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Groucho | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.