April 19, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Apollitical Runaway |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Glimpse of the Witch |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Furys Jet |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
McKinleys Grace |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salt Train Coming |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jess Me Jettin Yall |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perry Mouse Tale |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wordly Dash |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bellas Fantasy |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jess for Rogue |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bjs Thunderstruck |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ithinkimflyin |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jus to Kool |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sheza Dashin Cash |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Arose |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chick Lips |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jess Brioni |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caterpillarpuller |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miraculous Miranda |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aint I Leaving You |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sista Sara |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Private First Prize |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Kind of Game |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rogue One |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tf Lil Black Runaway |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Deadly |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Toast to Piper |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blueaway Cartel |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whatasong |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Thinkin Man |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anasttasia |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chicks Fast Dash |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Melas Miracle |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Volcom Royalty |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eye Like Corona |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jess C Me Zoom |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Condedo |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rkm Perry Full Moon |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Psychopath |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Barcelonna |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tf Rowdy Cartel |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mia Jet In |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Dominyun Cartel |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Embrujo Mountain |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Roseinante |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gottakeeplovin |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
El Pulgon |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Acoronas Toast |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cindys Easy Train |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Corona Down Perry |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Empyro |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bp Miss Dynasty |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wizdom |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ss Classyjess |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
I Have No Secrets |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jess too Pretty |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Follow My Wagon |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Parti Wagon |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kinekt |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Like No Other Time |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms Dominyun Knockout |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Ocean Run |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jb Chic Perry |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Quentonian |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mystical Desire |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Painted Southern Man |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tf Chics Lajolla |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heza Bell Perry Jr |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Racey Blaze |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kashman |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Won Brave Heart |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goign Grand Perry |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bodacious Glory |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tacky Places |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tempting Louisana |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quik Dynasty |
30.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Delta Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Gunsmoke B |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jess Adalida |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dm La Jolla |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Eyed Cartel |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cosmo Lela |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heza Magic Coronas |
10.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jets Fast Dash |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pieper |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hot Prize |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rock Solid Babe Aw |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Five Bar Royal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Golding Boy |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sheza Pretty N Black |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Brexit |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shut Up and Fish |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
On Point |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Runaways Attitude |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Jet Black Design |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Eyejessdashfast |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Razzgonabegoni |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.