April 19, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Analyze Your Risk | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maven | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Managing Risk | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Women Not Easy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dotdotdash | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lebda | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elizabeth Nicole | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arewehavingfunyet | 0.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preziosa | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laur Net | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ola Gatita | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Memories Of Silver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Two Dozen Roses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | It Justhitthe Wire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Takecharge Mirella | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | La Feve (FR) | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blowout (GB) | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Her Royal Highness | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Hattie (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hay Field | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shimmering Moon | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Archumybaby | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Gal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letmetakethiscall | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Super Nova | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Roxy Girl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gentle Annie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Not About the Nail | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Classic Lady | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiles From Sadie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shady Shady Shady | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Upon | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Squeeze | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adorable Song | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pound Note | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Havana Affair | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orbilicious | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thread the Needle | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Codrington | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Its All Relevant | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mills | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shareholder Value | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Analyze the Odds | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Believe in Luck | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Promises | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ro Bear | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Rule | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | River Echo (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Sudden Surprise | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Felix in Fabula | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spring to the Sky | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Spectrolite | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Compagno | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Coltandmississippi | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Nice Tune | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Have Another | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Straphanger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Rally Cap | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | It’s Mo Joke | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ventus | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stink Man | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kadens Courage | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Craigville Beach | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bears Mafia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Invest | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bank Gala | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bad Guy | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Determined One | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Preston Court | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Uncle Curly | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Zechariah | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cause for Applause | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Postmaster | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golconda | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Neper | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Quick Charge | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.