April 18, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Examiner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wild About Candy | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Talent Scout | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raphael | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freakin Joe | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Laser Loop | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trapper Peak | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Alcools | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Snell Yeah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Snake River Red | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | Rag Tag | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Joker On Jack | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Salty Snapper | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Dot | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kolten’s Court | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Competitive Queen | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Finess Bere (FR) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twin Channel | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Room to Finish | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nantucket Red | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vevina | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Slew | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | View Magic | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Companion | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Prez | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smell of Roses | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Rider | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Decision | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watch Out Justin | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sarcillo | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Vador (ARG) | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hart Hall | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Unapologetic Me | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Ebullient | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamblin Train | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Ride | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Diva Day | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Nimble | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gallovie (GB) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moravia (GB) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paper Clip | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brittas Bay | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holdonaminit | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lady Locker | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Urban Insight | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Girl | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warrior’s Path | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brassy and Sassy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | So Aristocratic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fun Paddy | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | British Invader (GB) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Oaked | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Righteous Ruby | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepper Them Girl | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valkyrie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mushaboom | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | G Nineteen | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | I’m Corfu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cape Rosso | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Fooch | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Iona Mobe | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Get Western | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Master Guns | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Getyourmindright | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Milk Chocolate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sekondi | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Leinster | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | King of Candy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14A | 11 | Rapa Iti | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hugh B. | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Twisted Anxiety | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Solo Drink | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Archie’s Song | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hermano | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tune In | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild Road | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ogre’s Cat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Humor | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Jett | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Joker D Lish | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.