April 18, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Xanthique | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Can U Handle This | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Kahen | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bizness Beauty | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Fast | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Claire’s Kitty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Magari | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tayler’s the Boss | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Vale | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salty Smile | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Fear No One | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Herecomesyourman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | County Court | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Meddle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Where’s Rudy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bootlegger (FR) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pecan Pattie | 0.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rattlesnake Bite | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Solitary Gem | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlisle Belle | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Speed | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party in the Sand | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Letterman | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Trick | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreammaster | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field Patrol | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Boy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Garsoon | 50.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asher the Dasher | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inclunation | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tizanoxbow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Invest | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Scotty Brown | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 2 | Qian B C | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Elektronic | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Awesome Ammo | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wicked Grin | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moo Lah | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Freudian Sip | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jack the Cat | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | River Echo (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Reed Kan | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bon Raison | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Long Haul Bay | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seethisquick | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Runaway Lute | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elios Milos | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Latin Love Bug | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Holey Matrimony | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leap to Glory | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roseboro | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Binkster | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wushu Warrior | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Flag | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lorcan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tizgame | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bobby Man | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortune Smiles | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Noble Cause | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tenency | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | True Blue Giant | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Big Paddy Brown | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Sinner Is You | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hudson Overpass | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.