April 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Ami’s Artie |
1.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Left for Dead |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Melbourne |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trust the Process |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Obviously Dramatic |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Victoria |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mad Sweeney |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Special Risk |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Thatta Boy Girl |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bon Heir |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Dancing Cool |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Congressionalstorm |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6A |
5 |
Girls and Guns |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8A |
7 |
Hy Rapid Lady |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Danceforthedevil |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
City Siege |
1.20 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alwayslookeye |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tizprocess |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cape May Style |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sacrificing It All |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brother Tez |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pappa Rox |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Anissa |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silver Excess |
1.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joycee’s Spirit |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bertranda |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
If You Only Knew |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abuela Loca |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pretty Cool Cat |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Team Ribot |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Speed Syndrome |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Infuriated |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Lie |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jimmy Who |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Semi Excited |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Petulant Delight |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kowboy Kenny |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8A |
8 |
Backstretch George |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Big Muddy |
1.50 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daddy’s Placer |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3A |
3 |
Li’l Dude L Do It |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Megatherm |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Fleet |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miami Tiger |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Skittles |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ninja Boys |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lady Terp |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Brazilian Symphony |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5A |
3 |
I’m Not Joking |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Elnath |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
2 |
Cold Hearted Pearl |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Mother Ginger |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10A |
8 |
Ignite |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Banana Anna |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Serious Happiness |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Star of Midnight |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Pascha Pascha |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Gotta Be Strong |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stifling |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Isabella Smile |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
New Jersey |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Zar |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Lilly Factum |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Pogey |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Way Over Budget |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rigel’s Halo |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Rage |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pennyfeather |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Get Over It |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coleslittlemonster |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.