Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, April 16, 2019

April 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ami’s Artie 1.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Left for Dead 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Royal Melbourne 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Trust the Process 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Obviously Dramatic 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 King Victoria 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Mad Sweeney 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Special Risk 2.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Thatta Boy Girl 2.00 1.3 2-1
1.4 3-1
2 2 Bon Heir 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Dancing Cool 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Congressionalstorm 8.00 2.1 4-1
6A 5 Girls and Guns 20.00 3 6-1
8A 7 Hy Rapid Lady 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Danceforthedevil 30.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Siege 1.20 0.9 2-1
1.5 3-1
7 7 Alwayslookeye 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tizprocess 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cape May Style 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sacrificing It All 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Brother Tez 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Pappa Rox 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Anissa 3.00 1.5 3-1
1.7 3-1
4 4 Silver Excess 1.20 2 4-1
1 1 Joycee’s Spirit 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Bertranda 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 If You Only Knew 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Abuela Loca 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Pretty Cool Cat 15.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Team Ribot 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Speed Syndrome 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Infuriated 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Big Lie 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Jimmy Who 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Semi Excited 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Petulant Delight 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Kowboy Kenny 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 8 Backstretch George 4.50 SCRATCH
9 8 Big Muddy 1.50 0.9 2-1
1.6 3-1
2 2 Daddy’s Placer 6.00 1.9 4-1
3A 3 Li’l Dude L Do It 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Megatherm 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Super Fleet 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Miami Tiger 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mr. Skittles 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ninja Boys 10.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Terp 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brazilian Symphony 15.00 SCRATCH
5A 3 I’m Not Joking 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 4 Elnath 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 2 Cold Hearted Pearl 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Mother Ginger 1.80 2.2 4-1
10A 8 Ignite 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Banana Anna 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Serious Happiness 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Star of Midnight 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pascha Pascha 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gotta Be Strong 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Stifling 2.50 1.7 3-1
1.7 3-1
4 4 Isabella Smile 1.40 1.8 3-1
1 1 New Jersey 15.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Secret Zar 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sweet Lilly Factum 30.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pogey 1.60 SCRATCH
1.5 3-1
3 3 Way Over Budget 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Rigel’s Halo 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Miss Rage 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Pennyfeather 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Get Over It 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Coleslittlemonster 15.00 3.1 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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